WEATHER AND FORECASTING

Long-Lead Statistical Forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Based on Causal Precursors

Evolution of WRF-HAILCAST during the 2014–16 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiments

A Climatology of Quasi-Linear Convective Systems and Their Hazards in the United States

Impact of Ground-Based Remote Sensing Boundary Layer Observations on Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Event

Santa Ana Winds: A Descriptive Climatology

Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting over East Asia Using Bayesian Model Averaging

A Feed Forward Neural Network Based on Model Output Statistics for Short-Term Hurricane Intensity Prediction

Object-Based Verification of Short-Term, Storm-Scale Probabilistic Mesocyclone Guidance from an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System

Combined Kalman Filter and Universal Kriging to Improve Storm Wind Speed Predictions for the Northeastern United States

Track Uncertainty in High-Resolution HWRF Ensemble Forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin

TKE-Based Moist Eddy-Diffusivity Mass-Flux (EDMF) Parameterization for Vertical Turbulent Mixing

Comparison of ECMWF significant wave height forecasts in the China Sea with buoy data

Postprocessing Next-Day Ensemble Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Random Forests

Numerical Simulation of Rapid Weakening of Hurricane Joaquin with Assimilation of High-Definition Sounding System Dropsondes during the Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment: Comparison of Three- and Four-Dimensional Ensemble–Variational Data Assimilation

A Unified Scheme of Stochastic Physics and Bias Correction in an Ensemble Model to Reduce Both Random and Systematic Errors

Aircraft Icing Study Using Integrated Observations and Model Data

Rapid-Update Radar Observations of ZDR Column Depth and Its Use in the Warning Decision Process

Skill Evaluation of Extended-Range Forecasts of Rainfall and Temperature over the Meteorological Subdivisions of India

Strength Outlooks for the El Niño–Southern Oscillation

A Subjective and Objective Evaluation of Model Forecasts of Sumatra Squall Events

Quasi-Operational Testing of Real-Time Storm-Longevity Prediction via Machine Learning

Characterizing and Constraining Uncertainty Associated with Surface and Boundary Layer Turbulent Fluxes in Simulations of Lake-Effect Snowfall

Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States

Verification of Two Years of CNR-ISAC Subseasonal Forecasts

Long-Duration Freezing Rain Events over North America: Regional Climatology and Thermodynamic Evolution

Prediction of Asian dust days over Northern China using the KMA-ADAM2 model

Tornado Fatalities: An Environmental Perspective

Assessment of the Sea Surface Temperature Predictability Based on Multimodel Hindcasts

Tropical Cyclone–Related Precipitation over the Northwest Tropical Pacific in Met Office Global Operational Forecasts

Validation of Snow Multibands in the Comma Head of an Extratropical Cyclone Using a 40-Member Ensemble

Comparisons of QPFs Derived from Single- and Multicore Convection-Allowing Ensembles

An Analysis on Perturbation Features of Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction Based on the Local Breeding Growth Mode

Frequency of Persistent Blocking and Ridge Events Related to Precipitation over Eastern China during August and Its Preceding Atmospheric Signals

Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity

Test of a Weather-Adaptive Dual-Resolution Hybrid Warn-on-Forecast Analysis and Forecast System for Several Severe Weather Events

Probabilistic Contingency Tables: An Improvement to Verify Probability Forecasts

An Evaluation of the GOES-16 Rapid Scan for Nowcasting in Southeastern Brazil: Analysis of a Severe Hailstorm Case

The Impacts of Using Mixed Physics in the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble

The Extreme Precipitation Index (EPI): A Coupled Dynamic–Thermodynamic Metric to Diagnose Midlatitude Floods Associated with Flow Reversal

Antecedent North Pacific Jet Regimes Conducive to the Development of Continental U.S. Extreme Temperature Events during the Cool Season

Reexamination of the Tropical Cyclone Wind–Pressure Relationship Based on Pre-1987 Aircraft Data in the Western North Pacific

Introducing Lightning Threat Messaging Using the GOES-16 Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGB Composite

Lake-Effect Snowbands in Baroclinic Environments

Optimizing the Lightning Warning Radii at Spaceport Florida

Summer- and Wintertime Variations of the Surface and Near-Surface Urban Heat Island in a Semiarid Environment

Developing an Automated Medium-Range Flood Awareness System for Switzerland Based on Probabilistic Forecasts of Integrated Water Vapor Fluxes

On the Evaluation of Probabilistic Thunderstorm Forecasts and the Automated Generation of Thunderstorm Threat Areas during Environment Canada Pan Am Science Showcase